Global Warming: The end
of a beautiful relationship
I’m not
a scientist. But when I see a curious correlation, I can't help but to hypothesize. I had written this article back in 2009 (which even I was skeptical about). But since becoming aware of the news on polar climate (see links below), I believe my idea has credibility.
Ice
core samples have shown that Co2 goes up a few hundred years after temperature
goes up. Why? Know one knows. However, if they are related, then current day
Co2 could be high not necessarily because of anything man has done, but because
of the medieval warm period that ended around 1600AD. Additionally, since the
medieval ice age followed after the medieval warm period, we may also see a corresponding
drop in Co2 and temperature in the future.
Should
we care about Co2? Is what we breathe out really horrible? Besides, plants love
it. More plants mean more oxygen for us and more food on our tables. But let’s
set aside Co2 and address global warming.
The
world news has not been diligent about reporting the fact that in the last
decade, there has been more cooling going on*, and coincidentally with virtually
no sunspots. What do sunspots have to do with it?
Sunspot
activity means more solar wind pushes out and around the Earth to force away
the cosmic rays that bombard the earth. These same cosmic rays stimulate cloud
activity. When there are more sunspots, low cloud condensation nuclei formation
decreases, more clear sky increases the incoming radiation to, paradoxically,
elevate gaseous water, the most important part of the greenhouse effect. Thus,
more heat. When there are more sunspots,
the earth warms, and ultimately the oceans will warm up and create more Co2.
Sounds like global warming, eh? Well, hold on a minute.
When
the oceans warm, they stimulate what is known as the ocean conveyor system
called the thermohaline circulation. This ocean conveyor is a process where
warm salt water moves heat from the equatorial zones and up to the north where
it cools. The cool salt water then sinks down and flows back to the equator. Fresh
water is provided by northern ice melts, and mixes with the salt water. When
the mix is heavy with fresh water, the water sinks less and slows the ocean
conveyor process down.
When
the fresh water ice melts too much, the ocean conveyor will slow down and restrict
the warm southern waters from circulating to the northern regions of the earth.
In the near future there will be a tipping point in the ocean conveyor system
where it will shut down and start to reverse, allowing the north to cool again.
Remember
I said that there could be a correlation between the Co2 drop and the medieval
ice age. We are near that event. My hypothesis is that when the ocean conveyor
slows and Co2 starts to decrease, look out…This could be the beginning of a new
ice age.
During
1645-1715, few if any sunspots were seen, and Western Europe entered what is
known as the Little Ice Age. So if the sunspots activity increases, it may
contribute to a warm decade; but in the long run it will assist in the acceleration
of the ocean conveyor process to what I believe is the tipping to cooling. With
this in mind, I believe we’re due for a cold century.
Gary Riedl 12/1/09 rev3
I didn't read anything yet... I just went straight to your chdo. Where did you get it? Because thermometers weren't invented until the mid-18th century. How do we know it is valid?
ReplyDeleteOops, typo... *chart (not chdo)
DeleteI try to use sources from NASA or other reputable sources. But you may be correct on this chart. It should not have shown detail temperatures. My intention was to show only general temperature variations.
ReplyDeleteHere is a link that explains two sources of temperature accuracy (tree rings and ice core). http://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/taking-the-earths-temperature
ReplyDeleteNevertheless, we should assume that accuracy diminishes the further we go back in time.